Pre-tourney Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#216
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#205
Pace65.5#234
Improvement+0.8#132

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#266
First Shot-0.5#185
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#337
Layup/Dunks+4.2#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#136
Freethrows-2.0#295
Improvement+0.9#128

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#170
First Shot+2.9#81
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#337
Layups/Dunks-5.1#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#32
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#20
Freethrows+0.9#114
Improvement-0.2#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four73.0% n/a n/a
First Round57.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 5   @ West Virginia L 59-87 2%     0 - 1 -5.7 -5.0 +0.6
  Nov 14, 2016 17   @ Iowa St. L 55-73 2%     0 - 2 +2.1 -13.2 +16.2
  Nov 16, 2016 32   @ Minnesota L 56-80 5%     0 - 3 -8.8 -6.7 -2.0
  Nov 18, 2016 109   @ George Mason W 78-76 OT 19%     1 - 3 +8.0 +4.1 +3.8
  Nov 21, 2016 144   @ Southern Illinois L 63-73 24%     1 - 4 -6.3 -4.0 -2.9
  Nov 23, 2016 81   @ Texas Arlington L 71-80 13%     1 - 5 -0.3 -2.6 +2.8
  Nov 26, 2016 21   @ Michigan L 47-64 3%     1 - 6 +1.9 -12.5 +11.6
  Nov 28, 2016 35   @ Arkansas L 76-89 6%     1 - 7 +1.6 +6.7 -5.0
  Dec 03, 2016 251   @ Loyola Maryland L 57-64 47%     1 - 8 -9.8 -12.7 +2.5
  Dec 07, 2016 197   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70-78 54%     1 - 9 -12.6 -7.6 -5.1
  Dec 10, 2016 133   Lehigh L 71-90 40%     1 - 10 -19.9 -5.8 -13.0
  Dec 19, 2016 85   @ Bucknell L 65-81 14%     1 - 11 -7.7 -6.8 -0.1
  Dec 22, 2016 343   Coppin St. W 87-49 91%     2 - 11 +19.7 +14.5 +9.9
  Dec 29, 2016 261   @ LIU Brooklyn W 67-65 49%     3 - 11 1 - 0 -1.3 +1.7 -2.7
  Dec 31, 2016 262   Wagner W 57-56 68%     4 - 11 2 - 0 -7.4 -6.2 -1.0
  Jan 05, 2017 285   @ Bryant L 71-72 57%     4 - 12 2 - 1 -6.2 +1.1 -7.4
  Jan 07, 2017 338   @ Central Connecticut St. W 77-68 80%     5 - 12 3 - 1 -3.2 +8.7 -10.8
  Jan 12, 2017 277   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-70 72%     6 - 12 4 - 1 -2.6 -3.1 +0.4
  Jan 14, 2017 263   St. Francis (PA) W 78-72 68%     7 - 12 5 - 1 -2.5 -0.3 -2.2
  Jan 19, 2017 299   @ Sacred Heart W 86-75 61%     8 - 12 6 - 1 +4.7 +7.2 -2.9
  Jan 21, 2017 346   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 55-47 85%     9 - 12 7 - 1 -6.7 -12.0 +6.7
  Jan 26, 2017 275   Robert Morris W 48-47 71%     10 - 12 8 - 1 -8.4 -18.9 +10.6
  Jan 28, 2017 299   Sacred Heart W 67-53 77%     11 - 12 9 - 1 +2.7 -4.3 +8.3
  Feb 02, 2017 285   Bryant W 77-70 74%     12 - 12 10 - 1 -3.3 +9.8 -12.0
  Feb 04, 2017 338   Central Connecticut St. L 52-54 90%     12 - 13 10 - 2 -19.3 -23.5 +4.0
  Feb 09, 2017 275   @ Robert Morris W 74-70 53%     13 - 13 11 - 2 -0.3 +7.9 -8.0
  Feb 11, 2017 263   @ St. Francis (PA) W 81-62 50%     14 - 13 12 - 2 +15.6 +12.3 +4.7
  Feb 16, 2017 262   @ Wagner L 65-69 49%     14 - 14 12 - 3 -7.3 -1.1 -6.7
  Feb 18, 2017 277   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-74 54%     15 - 14 13 - 3 +0.5 +6.0 -5.3
  Feb 23, 2017 261   LIU Brooklyn L 58-62 68%     15 - 15 13 - 4 -12.3 -8.3 -4.7
  Feb 25, 2017 346   St. Francis Brooklyn W 77-62 93%     16 - 15 14 - 4 -4.8 -3.8 -1.2
  Mar 01, 2017 299   Sacred Heart W 76-73 77%     17 - 15 -8.3 -1.9 -6.5
  Mar 04, 2017 275   Robert Morris W 75-66 71%     18 - 15 -0.4 +4.7 -4.8
  Mar 07, 2017 263   St. Francis (PA) W 71-61 68%     19 - 15 +1.5 -5.4 +7.0
Projected Record 19.0 - 15.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.9 6.7 93.3
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.9 6.7 93.3